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DNV - Shipping 2020 Study

24-Nov-2014

Author: Det Norske Veritas

Page Count: 68

Date: August 2012

From the Document:

With the world economy in a fragile condition, it is not only financial analysts, bankers and policy makers who would like to know what the world will look like towards the end of this decade. The shipping community is, rightly, asking the same questions; Which drivers will influence technology choices in the years to come? Which technologies are most likely to be adopted by the industry? In other words, based on projections and likely development scenarios, and from a technology perspective, what will the world fleet look like in 2020?

Predicting the future is a risky business. However, in this report we have done just that. Our objective has been to share our views on technology uptake towards 2020 and beyond, and to stimulate discussions likely options for the industry. We will address questions such as how we think environmental regulations will influence the use of NOx SOx, Ballast Water (BW) and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) related technologies in the future. Will scrubbers dominate, or will there be a significant switch to Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) as fuel? What will the speed of implementation be?

Needless to say, there are no precise answers to the questions discussed in this report. That said, we consider DNV to be very well positioned to identify and discuss future technology trends. Our voice is grounded in the expertise and skills of our truly global work force.